Highlights
La Niña conditions may intensify cyclone formation in Bay of Bengal.
Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and West Bengal at elevated risk during October–December.
Historical data shows repeated cyclonic impact on Odisha during this season.
Bhubaneswar, Sep 12: As October nears, meteorologists and global climate agencies are raising concerns over a potential cyclone forming in the Bay of Bengal.
The eastern coast of India — particularly Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and West Bengal — could be significantly impacted, with Odisha facing heightened vulnerability due to its historical exposure to severe cyclonic storms.
Experts point to the evolving La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean, which often correlate with increased frequency and intensity of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal.
These climatic shifts lead to elevated sea surface temperatures and high humidity, creating ideal conditions for storm formation. The residual energy from typhoons in the western Pacific and South China Sea often migrates toward the Bay of Bengal, especially through the Andaman Sea, triggering cyclonic activity.
Historically, October to December has been a critical cyclone season for Odisha. Devastating storms like the 1999 Super Cyclone, Cyclone Phailin (2013), and Titli (2018) have all struck during this period, while Fani (2019), Amphan (2020), and Yaas (2021) had hit Odisha in the month of May.
The recurring pattern suggests that Odisha must remain vigilant, especially as the monsoon transitions into the post-monsoon cyclone season.
While the Regional Meteorological Centre has not confirmed any imminent cyclone, it acknowledges that the coming months are statistically prone to such developments. The IMD continues to monitor oceanic and atmospheric conditions closely and will issue alerts as needed.
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